Harvard astrophysicist Avi Loeb, a point man in the government’s UAP (UFO) investigation, serving as chairman of the UAP Science Advisory Council, has publicly stated that he’s taking a “national security” approach to his UAP (UFO) investigation, starting with the assumption that the phenomenon is manmade. Loeb’s assumption makes it fair to question whether things on the level, especially in light of the role such assumptions (Condon Report) have played in past Pentagon efforts regarding the truth about UFOs.
Loeb also stated that he’s open to the possibility that some of the strange, intelligently controlled, objects may be of nonhuman origin. Unlike most of the scientific community, which is completely dismissive of the possibility of extraterrestrial spacecraft, Loeb finds the idea “plausible.”
“We know that roughly one in 10 stars has a planet similar to Earth at about the same distance,” Loeb said, adding, “For me, if similar conditions exist in millions or billions of planetary systems resembling our solar system, it is like finding homes on our street that resemble our own. Under similar conditions, it is very likely that those homes contain living beings, just as Earth does.”
The significance of what Loeb said can’t be overstated. We know… one in 10 stars has a planet similar to Earth… What this means is that modern astronomy has confirmed Manhattan Project scientist Enrico Fermi’s off-the-cuff calculations made in 1950 in response to a colleague’s comment about flying saucers.
Fermi had the sudden epiphany that, whether or not flying saucers were extraterrestrial spacecraft, we should’ve been visited many times. His logic was simple. I’m paraphrasing here, but if only one in 10 stars in our Galaxy has planets, and if only 1 in 10 of those planets has life, and if only 1 in 10 of those planets have intelligent life, etc., there should be millions of intelligent civilizations, meaning we should’ve been visited many times by now – even at sub-light speed – because the Universe and our Galaxy are much, much older than our sun. Someone surely came before us…
This is, of course, a big part of what I wrote about in my first book, The Day After the Singularity: UFOs & the Great Technological Quantum Leap. Fermi’s point was that we’re not likely to be living on the first and only planet to orbit a star, or be the first and only habitable planet, or be the first planet to develop life, etc. I argued one step further- we aren’t going to be the first intelligent civilization to develop computing and artificial intelligence, which means we are not going to be the first civilization to hit the technological Singularity, when AI becomes the driving force of civilization. Ultimately, we’re not going to be the first post-Singularity civilization to spread throughout the Galaxy, seeding life. Someone else has already been there done that- and here we are.
What’s even more amazing is that Fermi was being far too conservative in his estimate based on the premise that 1 in 10 stars have planets. As it turns out, most, if not all, stars in the galaxy have planets, which makes the extraterrestrial presence not just plausible, but inevitable.
As I said above, mainstream scientists don’t get it- yet. In an article titled Whatever It Is, It Ain’t Aliens, available to subscribers of Quillette,com. Physicist Lawrence Krauss channeled Richard Feynman on science’s role in determining what is more or less likely, said, “So it is fair to say, these terms, that the presumption that UAPs represent alien spacecraft is very unlikely. In fact, I would argue that essentially any other explanation one can come up with, no matter how exotic, is bound to be more likely.”
Lawrence then justified his belief, citing conventional wisdom about the distances between the stars and the limitations of light speed, etc.
I suspect scientists like Krauss make the tired, old, ‘It Can’t Be; Therefore It Isn’t’ argument (a logical fallacy) in order to avoid having to confront the reality that a more advanced species exists and is here, with all the implications, which are vast, that come with it.
One of the biggest implications, maybe the biggest, is that we’re dealing with a post-Singularity civilization. That is to say: a civilization that has successfully navigated the technological Singularity, a challenge we now face. Any civilization more advanced than ours has to be post-Singularity, since we are on the cusp.
I can imagine Krauss’s hair bursting into flames upon hearing Loeb’s public statements about the plausibility of extraterrestrial UFOs. Loeb has also proposed that recent interstellar objects Oumuamua (2017) and 31/ATLAS (2025) might actually be extraterrestrial probes. On the surface, Loeb seems a godsend to the UFO community, but a deeper dive presents a complex picture.
Loeb first made waves in 2018 when he and a colleague published a paper raising the possibility that Oumuamua, the first officially confirmed interstellar asteroid to enter our solar system, could be an extraterrestrial spacecraft. Loeb highlighted six anomalous features that were unlike any previously seen asteroid or meteor, most notably its non-gravitational acceleration. Loeb thought the strangely elongated object might be using a “solar sail,” to harness either sunlight or lasers for propulsion. Solar Sail propulsion was first proposed in the 1980s.
The astronomical community wasn’t buying it. According to Sean Kirkpatrick, former head of the Pentagon’s All-Domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO), Loeb is “not viewed favorably,” by the great majority of his peers. Undeterred, Loeb has persisted with his extraterrestrial speculations.
On July 1, 2025, the Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System (ATLAS) detected a comet swinging by our Sun as it passed through the solar system. The comet is known as 3I/ATLAS- the third interstellar object that has been discovered.
Loeb raised the possibility that the comet might actually be an alien spacecraft conducting reconnaissance as it does a flyby of Earth, Venus and Mars, possibly deploying devices aimed at Earth as part of an invasion operation.
Again, the mainstream astronomical community did not appreciate Loeb’s “thought experiment,” calling it “nonsense.” They weren’t the only ones. Dr. Steven Greer, Disclosure advocate and a leading figure in the UFO community, also called nonsense on Loeb. “The tragedy here is that you have an astrophysicist at Harvard who seems to have all the credentials and yet what he is saying about this object is so unscientific. So let me do some math and science for you. It’s very simple,” said Greer, whose calculations showed that Loeb’s theory, which tied the appearance of 3I/ATLAS to radio signals emanating from Earth about a hundred and fifty years ago.
“So the idea that it picked up on our early electromagnetic signals and radio waves emanating from the earth in the late 1800s and 1900s (which is what Avi Loeb said) and that it launched and finally got here is the biggest gaslighting scientifically and absurdity,” said Greer.
At this point, you might be asking yourself, “What’s going on here?” It’s a good question.
It could’ve been an ill-advised attempt by Loeb to pander to both the scientific and UFO communities. Considering Oumuamua and 3I/ATLAS as possible ET probes would prove his open-mindedness to the UFO community, while invoking relatable technology like a “solar sail” would make the ET angle more plausible to the scientific community than science fiction speculation about wormholes, other dimensions, etc.
Or, as Greer suspects, Loeb is playing the hostile ET angle “because he’s trying to get a billion dollars for a planetary defense system,” which has been a Pentagon goal going back to the Reagan years and the Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI) aka “Star Wars.”
So… this blog post is getting too long- it’s bleeding into blog paper territory. I’m going to have to try to wrap up. I’m sure I’ll expand on all this in my upcoming book. In the meantime I’ll leave you with this: At this point we don’t have a smoking gun on Avi Loeb that shows he’s just another Pentagon shill like we did with the Condon investigation, hence the question mark in the title.
I have a few tidbits to leave like Reese’s Pieces to give you an idea where I think this thing is heading….
Starting his investigation with the assumption that anomalous UFO/UAP are manmade is a huge Red Flag. As j. Allen Hynek said about the Condon investigation back in the late 60s- “Scientific method! What sort of scientific investigation is it that assumes the answer before starting.” (Alien Agenda, Jim Marrs) Condon’s assumption foreshadowed a predetermined outcome. The question is: Does Loeb’s assumption that unexplained UFOs/UAP are manmade also foreshadow a predetermined outcome? If so, what outcome?
I think Loeb justifies his assumption that UFOs are manmade like Krauss rationalizes his belief that it’s got to be just about anything other than aliens: What is more likely versus what is less likely- based on our scientific knowledge. Conventional wisdom says any other explanation, no matter how unlikely, is still more likely that ET visitors.
I think all they’ve done is reveal the limitations of our science.
Whatever his reasoning, Loeb’s handpicked scientific panel for AARO includes some Big Wigs who strongly advocate the extraterrestrial hypothesis like Timothy Gallaudet, a retired navy rear admiral.
“The nonhuman intelligence that operates them or controls them are absolutely real,” Gallaudet said . “We’ve recovered crashed craft.”
“UAP-related information is not only being withheld from senior officials and members of Congress, but elements of the government are engaging in a disinformation campaign to include personal attacks designed to discredit UAP whistleblowers,” said Gallaudet.
Other AARO witness testimony about UAP crash retrieval/alien biologics:
Maj. David Grusch (ret), former intelligence officer, UAP Task Force and whistleblower: US had “a multi-decade UAP crash retrieval and reverse-engineering program” and the craft recovered were of “nonhuman” origins and some craft contained “biologics.”
Former senior intelligence official, US government, Official with Advanced Aerospace Threat Ideantification Program (AATIP), Lue Elizondo: “The United States has been involved in the recovery of objects, vehicles of unknown origin that are neither from our country or any other foreign country that we’re aware of,” Elizondo said.
“We as a nation have been interested in not only the vehicles themselves but the occupants of these vehicles; to include biological specimens… We’re not alone. We are not alone in this universe and it is a simple fact. The U.S. government has been aware of that fact for decades.”
Loeb has made conflicting statements about alien bodies.
About Uri Geller’s claims that he’d seen alien bodies at a US intelligence facility: “It is red meat that he provides to an audience that likes hearing such stories, but it is science fiction. These are stories,” said Loeb.
About crash retrieval/alien bodies: “We also need materials. That would be the most conclusive information, if there are materials from crash sites. I would love to see that kind of material, and, in particular, if there are biologics, as were claimed.”
Question- what does Loeb make of the claims? Could he think some kind of game is being played here? I mean, who knows? Maybe they’ll pull the ole Roswell weather balloon switcheroo and drag out some fake alien “biologics” made from mutated circus freak remains that lab tests will ultimately reveal to be human?
In light of all the high-level testimony, it’s disappointing to hear that Loeb is starting his investigation with a bias toward the phenomenon as manmade, which I think is political. The stories, no matter how compelling, or the witnesses convincing, are what science calls anecdotal- meaning there can be no scientific determination because there’s no hard evidence that can be looked at under a microscope and there’s no observations that can be repeated because no one knows when a UFO will appear. But it doesn’t mean the stories are meaningless or aren’t of evidentiary value, yet science acts as if it does, using the anecdotal excuse as a technicality to pretend the whole thing isn’t real.
The game: The real hard evidence that would prove the true nature of the phenomenon and enable a real scientific investigation exists under lock and key. Loeb has asked for access based on the claims- will he get it? I doubt it.
So what are they up to now? Since denying UFO reality is no longer an option, I’d say we’re probably going to get a John Dean-type Modified Limited Hangout of some sort. Given Loeb’s emphasis on national security and his narrative about possible aliens with bad intentions (see Oumuamua, 3I/ATLAS) it’s not difficult to imagine he is laying the groundwork for the alien false flag operation warned about by Greer.
But who knows?
I don’t know what the goal of this official government disclosure operation actually is, and I’m not sure anyone does- they seem to be making it up as they go along
The goal of the cover-up was to deny the reality of UFOs. As I wrote in The Day After the Singularity, the advance of technology, in specific, the cell phone camera, was destined to cause the cover-up to fail, which has been happening. I think the government’s disclosure effort is probably an attempt to get out in front and control the narrative.
How will it all turn out?
Hynek quote about US government, according to Jaques Vallee: “Dr. Hynek told me very wisely that there is no such thing as a US government. There are a number of agencies with their own focus, their own technologies and their own budgets. So it’s very difficult to get those agencies to converge on a new phenomenon that doesn’t seem to belong to anyone.” (UFOs: Investigating the Unknown, “Government Breaks Silence,”)
P.S. Former Israeli space security chief Haim Eshed says Trump knows about ETs… for whatever it’s worth